I'm writing this post about Robert Reich in the hopes that he'll read it here. Robert - if you're the one reading this, my sincere thanks for coming and reading this post. For the rest of you, I figured I'd let you listen in on what I have to say to Mr. Reich...
Dear Robert,
You probably don't know me, but I've followed your career from a distance for a long time now. I first became aware of you when you began showing up on a morning cable program aimed at providing an introductory course in Economics. I used to watch intently because I fancy myself something of a Renaissance man, and Economics was one of my passions. I was one of the few students in my high school to take an Economics course. My teacher was a socialist, and he taught us from the Marx school of economics, including what had become the discredited (though I didn't know it at the time) labor theory of value. I went on to minor in Economics, while I majored in Mechanical Engineering. I took Introduction to Macro Economics, and Introduction to Micro Economics, and then took International Economics at the 200 level. I then went on to get an MBA in Information Technology, and Finance and was able to take an excellent course called Econometric Modeling during that program. While my credentials don't really rival yours, I suspect that I have more economics training than the Tea Party folks that you quoted in your last editorial in my local newspaper.
Also, since we're talking about my past, I am, as you've probably guessed by now, a Conservative, but no longer a Republican - I'm registered as Unaffiliated, but clearly lean Republican. I've also served 9 years on my town's local Board of Education, serving as it's Secretary for a year, and in general, being a crucial member of the Board while it faced serious challenges from No Child Left Behind issues, to the upgrading of our failing school infrastructure. I have many Democratic colleagues that I'd be happy to name to you in private who will no doubt vouch for my fairly non-partisan approach to the job, and my good judgment in general.
Anyway, I watched intently, as I was interested in how you would portray Economics, and from what Economic schools you might use as your point of view. You thoroughly impressed me! As I recall, this was at a time when "trickle down" economics was being fiercely debated by politicians and economists, and Milton Friedman was the latest king of pop-Economics theory. You presented both sides of that particular argument in a dispassionate, ideologically-free point of view. I admired your ability to do that, and continue to keep that example in mind as I teach Citizenship in the Community and Citizenship in the Nation to Scouts in my Boy Scout Troop. As a teacher, there is no higher gift than an even handed presentation to controversial issues.
I was happy when I saw that you had joined the Clinton administration as his Secretary of Labor. While I felt that a position at the Fed or some other more economically centric position would have better played to your strengths, I was excited to see you get recognized.
I began to get disillusioned when you championed the increases in the minimum wage, and at some of your positions on organized labor, but decided that this must have been part of the job in a Democratic administration.
After leaving the Clinton administration, you popped back up on my radar when you began commenting on NPR and appearing in the editorial section of my newspaper. I must confess that at this point, I believe you've lost touch with your roots in Economics, and are simply using them to justify all kinds of big government interventions. I have come to find that you and I agree on very little. I'm saddened by this.
Having said all of that, I wanted to lay out for you why I sympathize with the Tea Party folks, and why you are a big part of the reason why they exist!
First of all, some background. I am NOT one of the rich that you and President Obama continue to talk about. My wife and I and two children make up a family of 4, and until very recently, have supported another family member for many years. We are both fairly charitable people, and spend most of our disposable income on your children. Without revealing our family income, I can tell you that our combined income last year was in the low 6 figure range. We are many tens of thousands of dollars away from being the "rich" that are so often spoken of.
So let's start with why I sympathize with the Tea Party by chronicling all the taxes that I paid last year:
Federal Income Tax: $31,000
Federal Social Security Tax: $6,600
State Teacher Pension Program: $4,000 (This is in place of Social Security taxes, as teachers cannot collect Social Security)
Federal Medicare Tax: $2,800
State Income Tax: $9,000
Real Estate Taxes: $5,100
Personal Property Taxes: $700
State Gasoline Taxes: $500
State Sales Taxes: $3,000 (estimated)
This excludes fees, surcharges, and other "funky" taxes like the 18% you pay when you rent a hotel room, etc.
The total is well over $60,000 in taxes which is somewhere between a third and a half of what we make in a given year.
This doesn't include the fact that my state income taxes will rise, along with all kinds of other fees due to our Democratic governor, Dan Malloy pushing through the biggest tax increase in the history of the state. (and during an economic downturn)
So you want to know why I sympathize with the Tea Partiers? It's because I'm already giving too much. Way too much.
You've lamented many times about how our tax system is becoming less progressive. Well, that may be true, but the problem with that logic is that the progressive nature of the system is already unfairly balanced. Look at the single biggest tax expenditure above. I fall into the top 5% of taxpayers. Again, recall that I'm not the "rich" that you so often quote. Anyway, this group of people pays almost 60% of the federal income tax revenue. The top 1%, which you call the rich, pays almost 40% of the federal income tax revenue. The top 10% of taxpayers, at a threshold of about $115,000 probably encompasses a good chunk of middle America. A married couple, both of whom are public school teachers would probably fall into that range. Those people, and the ones above, pay a whopping 70% of the federal income tax burden.
What is even more telling is that basically, anyone earning more than $33,000 a year is part of a group that essentially pays THE ENTIRE FEDERAL INCOME TAX burden, and that group comprises 50% of all "taxpayers."
I put the word "taxpayers" in quotes, as the other 50%, while technically taxpayers, pay no taxes. In fact, many of them get an Earned Income Tax Credit, which is essentially welfare with anyone that earns money in the US.
As a trained economist, you'll point to the other half of taxes paid, and call that regressive. The Social Security cap, sales taxes, gas taxes, etc. are levied regardless of income level. But I would posit that this is a specious argument. The sales taxes they pay are far lower, for most of what they buy will be exempt from sales taxes. Food, clothing under $50, etc. are all non taxable. Gas taxes are paid only when you own a car, which is a decision, not a right. Many take mass transit, which is subsidized by government. If they choose to eat a meal out, why shouldn't they pay a sales tax? If they choose to own and operate a vehicle, why shouldn't they pay taxes on that like anyone else?
At the same time, the growth in State and Federal spending seems to be spiraling upward. I simply cannot afford to do the things I need to do (like putting my children through college) if taxes continue to rise. Spending must be curtailed.
The biggest problem is our National Debt. It was out of control before Obama took office. After taking office, he went spending crazy. Deficit spending is at an unsustainable rate. On this, everyone can agree.
Where you and I disagree is in the method of stopping this out of control spiral. Your solution, along with most other Democrats is to raise taxes. As illustrated above, I can't afford that anymore.
Republicans want to cut services. It's clear to me that this is what needs to happen. Unfortunately, the power base of the Democratic party makes that very hard to accomplish.
Finally, I want to come to the main issue - why you, and the folks who advocate the same kinds of "solutions" that you do, are the direct cause of the Tea Party in America.
The Tea Party didn't exist as a political force until quite recently. There were mumblings and grumblings by people who felt that government had gotten too big. But they were easily ignored when our economy was growing briskly. This fed the ability of the government to expand into areas that it had not previously been involved in.
However, the 2008 political campaign triggered the Tea Party revolt. People who had mostly gone along with government expansion suddenly saw the Federal government step up it's efforts to reach into new areas. Suddenly, we were seriously considering "Universal Health Care" - a huge expansion of the Federal government. On top of that, the financial crisis of 2008 saw the Federal government begin to pump trillions of dollars into the economy to try and control unemployment. Remember that the trigger for this meltdown was the mortgage crisis - with housing values beginning to fall, the government's relentless push to increase home ownership through Fannie and Freddy came undone. The CDO's that they created rippled through the financial markets. I was keenly aware of this, as the company that I work for was highly exposed to the mortgage backed security crisis, as we had entered the business of insuring these CDO contracts. We ran a substantial risk of going bankrupt, and our stock, which had recently been at $80 a share was suddenly trading at $3 a share. We were lucky in that a new CEO came on board and quickly floated more equity in the company, thus allowing us to exit that market at a huge loss, but with the promise of remaining a going concern.
As Wall Street subsequently began to melt down, and the government began providing public bailouts, the debt began to mount. This was bad enough, but the Obama administration then embarked on reckless spending sprees, in an attempt to control unemployment. Subsequent "quantitative easing" led to a devaluation of the dollar, which would have been worse had the EU problems with Greece and Portugal not provided a lifeboat for the dollar. Even so, precious metal prices soared, and after a correction, continue to climb.
The real costs of ObamaCare won't be realized until after the 2012 election, and then we will begin to see just how much bigger the federal government has become.
For people like me, the real risk of a currency meltdown continues to loom. I have begun investing in gold and silver as a result. It may not make a sound investment in the long term, but certainly provides me some "sleep at night" insurance knowing that not all of my money is tied to the dollar.
These are the frustrations of the Tea Party crowd. The government spending needs to be cut, so that we can put our government on a more sustainable path of growth - one that respects the free market and that we can afford to pay for.
Unfortunately, the message you continue to send is one of hopelessness to someone in my position. By focusing on tax increases and more wealth redistribution, you discourage me from continuing to try and increase my income. At some point, if pushed, I'll leave this party that you are throwing. As I approach retirement age, I'll be looking to become one of the receivers of government largess rather than one of the suppliers. There's only 50% of the country in the supplier category today. How will your tax increases work if fewer people choose to earn the money to pay your exorbitant taxes?
All of the things you want; increased minimum wages, universal healthcare, more wealth redistribution, higher taxes, and continued expansion of government are all the things that Tea Partiers stand against. They are not the ignorant straw men that you stand up in your articles only to knock down. They are not, by and large, mean spirited people. They are people tired of paying the freight for ever increasing government, and being forced to do so at gunpoint. They want a government that serves the people - Not one where the people serve the government. They want more people to work, and take care of themselves, rather than relying on government to solve all their problems for them. They have taken their name from the patriots who threw tea into Boston harbor to protest what they see as unfair taxation. They are trying to make the US a better place.
They deserve better than to be derided and dismissed by you.
Respectfully,
Steve Edwards
Friday, July 22, 2011
Monday, July 18, 2011
My editorial to the JI
I am utterly frustrated with the Journal Inquirer. Here is a letter to the editor that I will send them, but they likely will not print. (Too long and too truthful)
To The Editor:
I have read your editorial pages thoroughly for the past several weeks, and the focus on two fiscal crises, the State of Connecticut dealing with the failed labor union deal, and the federal debt ceiling debate.
What is clear is that the JI, excepting Chris Powell, simply cannot maintain any level of objectivity in either debate. The JI has packed its pages with guest editorials, along with its own, excoriating House Republicans in the debt ceiling debate. These commentators have, at length, talked about how irresponsible, ignorant, selfish and stupid these darned Republicans are behaving. The conflict is really quite simple - so simple that the JI has missed it. Republicans are simply stating the following: The Federal Government spends too much money and taxes people too much and we won't continue to be a party to it.
They accuse Republicans of being the party of "no" - of not yielding and not willing to compromise. In their narrow definition, they are correct. Republicans don't want to raise taxes, nor do they wish to spend more. They want to cut spending instead. In that sense, Republicans are the party of "no" - "hell no" actually.
In reality, it is Obama and the Democrats who are saying "no". They are using this manufactured crisis to try and increase taxes. Obama proposes some spending cuts and the closure of "loopholes" - in other words, tax increases. This is his original, smaller package of cuts, along with closing loopholes, like corporate executives flying around on corporate jets. (None of which approach the opulence of Air Force One, by the way) Republicans say "no" - you're raising taxes. But we'll consider those tax increases if you offset them with more cuts. Obama responds with a "grand plan" for $4 trillion in cuts and tax increases - oh... and a plan to make lower income tax cuts permanent, but allowing higher income tax rates to expire. Clever but a tax increase nonetheless. Republicans again say, "no" you're raising taxes again!
Republicans stand firm to the notion that spending cuts should happen, and taxes shouldn't rise. So they try one more option. They'll pass the McConnell plan. The upshot is that Obama is given the power to unilaterally raise the debt ceiling. This satisfies Republicans in that they don't want to be a party to the debt ceiling being raised with tax increases as part of the deal. Obama storms out of the room and says he'll "take it to the American people"
Obama is opposed to such a plan. Why? Because it puts the debt ceiling uptick on his political back. That will be a liability in getting reelected. And if he chooses not to raise the ceiling, then default is entirely his fault. Worst of all, eventually the Republican stance will get communicated properly to everyone involved. They said no to tax increases and held their ground. Obama will spin it as being opposed to "taxes on the rich" but Americans are smarter than that. Anyone who looks into it will see that 50% of the American "taxpayers" actually pay NO federal income taxes. Worse, the earned income tax credit actually gives some payers money they DID NOT pay into the system - welfare, in other words. Obama's plan is to raise taxes only on the upper middle class and the rich, who already pay most of the freight of the Federal government.
He will try to deflect by saying that he's offered $3 in cuts for every $1 in spending increases. The last time that offer was made and accepted was under Ronald Reagan's watch. He was bitter about that until his death, according to his son, and that everyone is STILL waiting for those $3 in cuts.
Like it or not, if Republicans succeed in passing their last best hope bill, Obama will be stuck with the debt ceiling crisis. He'll have the power to raise the debt ceiling and continue to allow ruinous spending. As the JI editorials point out, cutting back government spending in a recession is not a good idea. However, what they fail to print is that raising taxes is also not a good idea. And with spending on a runaway trajectory under the Obama administration, there is only one future for America and her coveted dollar, and that is the way of Greece and Portugal. We cannot tax our way out of that problem. We don't have a revenue problem. We have a spending problem.
The JI presumes that Republicans MUST somehow connect themselves with tax increases. But they don't. And thus the JI does the newspaper equivalent of throwing a hissy fit. Of course, they can get away with it - it's a blue state after all and they are playing to the audience.
To The Editor:
I have read your editorial pages thoroughly for the past several weeks, and the focus on two fiscal crises, the State of Connecticut dealing with the failed labor union deal, and the federal debt ceiling debate.
What is clear is that the JI, excepting Chris Powell, simply cannot maintain any level of objectivity in either debate. The JI has packed its pages with guest editorials, along with its own, excoriating House Republicans in the debt ceiling debate. These commentators have, at length, talked about how irresponsible, ignorant, selfish and stupid these darned Republicans are behaving. The conflict is really quite simple - so simple that the JI has missed it. Republicans are simply stating the following: The Federal Government spends too much money and taxes people too much and we won't continue to be a party to it.
They accuse Republicans of being the party of "no" - of not yielding and not willing to compromise. In their narrow definition, they are correct. Republicans don't want to raise taxes, nor do they wish to spend more. They want to cut spending instead. In that sense, Republicans are the party of "no" - "hell no" actually.
In reality, it is Obama and the Democrats who are saying "no". They are using this manufactured crisis to try and increase taxes. Obama proposes some spending cuts and the closure of "loopholes" - in other words, tax increases. This is his original, smaller package of cuts, along with closing loopholes, like corporate executives flying around on corporate jets. (None of which approach the opulence of Air Force One, by the way) Republicans say "no" - you're raising taxes. But we'll consider those tax increases if you offset them with more cuts. Obama responds with a "grand plan" for $4 trillion in cuts and tax increases - oh... and a plan to make lower income tax cuts permanent, but allowing higher income tax rates to expire. Clever but a tax increase nonetheless. Republicans again say, "no" you're raising taxes again!
Republicans stand firm to the notion that spending cuts should happen, and taxes shouldn't rise. So they try one more option. They'll pass the McConnell plan. The upshot is that Obama is given the power to unilaterally raise the debt ceiling. This satisfies Republicans in that they don't want to be a party to the debt ceiling being raised with tax increases as part of the deal. Obama storms out of the room and says he'll "take it to the American people"
Obama is opposed to such a plan. Why? Because it puts the debt ceiling uptick on his political back. That will be a liability in getting reelected. And if he chooses not to raise the ceiling, then default is entirely his fault. Worst of all, eventually the Republican stance will get communicated properly to everyone involved. They said no to tax increases and held their ground. Obama will spin it as being opposed to "taxes on the rich" but Americans are smarter than that. Anyone who looks into it will see that 50% of the American "taxpayers" actually pay NO federal income taxes. Worse, the earned income tax credit actually gives some payers money they DID NOT pay into the system - welfare, in other words. Obama's plan is to raise taxes only on the upper middle class and the rich, who already pay most of the freight of the Federal government.
He will try to deflect by saying that he's offered $3 in cuts for every $1 in spending increases. The last time that offer was made and accepted was under Ronald Reagan's watch. He was bitter about that until his death, according to his son, and that everyone is STILL waiting for those $3 in cuts.
Like it or not, if Republicans succeed in passing their last best hope bill, Obama will be stuck with the debt ceiling crisis. He'll have the power to raise the debt ceiling and continue to allow ruinous spending. As the JI editorials point out, cutting back government spending in a recession is not a good idea. However, what they fail to print is that raising taxes is also not a good idea. And with spending on a runaway trajectory under the Obama administration, there is only one future for America and her coveted dollar, and that is the way of Greece and Portugal. We cannot tax our way out of that problem. We don't have a revenue problem. We have a spending problem.
The JI presumes that Republicans MUST somehow connect themselves with tax increases. But they don't. And thus the JI does the newspaper equivalent of throwing a hissy fit. Of course, they can get away with it - it's a blue state after all and they are playing to the audience.
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Odd or Interesting Things
Things that strike me as odd or interesting...
Interesting - Multiple websites now have decried the book "Go The F*** To Sleep" which has hit number one on the NY Times best seller list. One says that "sometimes the biggest bully in the neighborhood lives in the same house you do. Sometimes it's your parent." Another talks about what kind of parent might say "F---- your stuffed bear, I'm not getting you s---" to their child.
Both of these commentators completely miss the point. The first point is that the book is funny! The second point is that we, as a society, have lost our minds when it comes to our children. We no longer allow them to explore their world. They have to be coddled throughout their lives, sometimes now even into middle age. If we were so afraid of our child getting a runny nose, or picked on by a bully, then maybe the parents of those kids should have thought harder about having them.
Odd - There is a big bru-ha-ha going on in Washington now, with pundits from both sides talking about how the other side is ENDANGERING AMERICA by not coming to an agreement on the debt ceiling. The latest salvo offered by Republicans is that they pass a "Resolution of Disapproval" - essentially saying that Congress does NOT want to raise the debt limit. Obama can then veto the resolution, and without the votes to override him, he's free to increase the debt ceiling himself.
All of this is about the next campaign. Democrats point out that cutting spending isn't a good idea in a recession. Republicans point out that raising taxes isn't a good idea in a recession. But raising the debt ceiling isn't a good idea. Ever. So at the end of the day, here is the compromise they should make: Cut corporate subsidies - ethanol, oil and gas, etc. Make cuts to spending. If you can now get by without raising the debt ceiling, then you're good. If not, rinse and repeat. Stop trying to raise taxes on the "rich". Stop trying to save your pet subsidies. Work for the people!
Interesting - Now that the prison guards have torpedoed the deal Dan Malloy made with SEBAC, the CT General Assembly seems to be poised to transfer even more of it's power over to the executive. Maybe they should simply cede all of their power to him, and go home. Maybe they already did and nobody noticed. Hmmmmmm.
Interesting - There are 4 metals you will need when the zombie apocalypse comes. Silver, Gold, Brass, and Lead.
Interesting - Multiple websites now have decried the book "Go The F*** To Sleep" which has hit number one on the NY Times best seller list. One says that "sometimes the biggest bully in the neighborhood lives in the same house you do. Sometimes it's your parent." Another talks about what kind of parent might say "F---- your stuffed bear, I'm not getting you s---" to their child.
Both of these commentators completely miss the point. The first point is that the book is funny! The second point is that we, as a society, have lost our minds when it comes to our children. We no longer allow them to explore their world. They have to be coddled throughout their lives, sometimes now even into middle age. If we were so afraid of our child getting a runny nose, or picked on by a bully, then maybe the parents of those kids should have thought harder about having them.
Odd - There is a big bru-ha-ha going on in Washington now, with pundits from both sides talking about how the other side is ENDANGERING AMERICA by not coming to an agreement on the debt ceiling. The latest salvo offered by Republicans is that they pass a "Resolution of Disapproval" - essentially saying that Congress does NOT want to raise the debt limit. Obama can then veto the resolution, and without the votes to override him, he's free to increase the debt ceiling himself.
All of this is about the next campaign. Democrats point out that cutting spending isn't a good idea in a recession. Republicans point out that raising taxes isn't a good idea in a recession. But raising the debt ceiling isn't a good idea. Ever. So at the end of the day, here is the compromise they should make: Cut corporate subsidies - ethanol, oil and gas, etc. Make cuts to spending. If you can now get by without raising the debt ceiling, then you're good. If not, rinse and repeat. Stop trying to raise taxes on the "rich". Stop trying to save your pet subsidies. Work for the people!
Interesting - Now that the prison guards have torpedoed the deal Dan Malloy made with SEBAC, the CT General Assembly seems to be poised to transfer even more of it's power over to the executive. Maybe they should simply cede all of their power to him, and go home. Maybe they already did and nobody noticed. Hmmmmmm.
Interesting - There are 4 metals you will need when the zombie apocalypse comes. Silver, Gold, Brass, and Lead.
Friday, June 17, 2011
Connecticut Government About To Come Apart
The handwriting is on the wall...
The corrections officers unions have begun to be tallied, according to tonight's Journal Inquirer. 2 of the 3 units that make up that union have voted against the concession package negotiated by the Malloy administration and SEBAC, the grand bargaining group that makes up the government unions in Connecticut. Further, all it takes to bring down the SEBAC/Malloy deal is for the corrections and judicial unions to vote no. In that event, it wouldn't matter if the other 14 of 15 unions agreed to the concessions package... it would still not be accepted.
In the same issue of the paper, there was yet another article about Gov. Malloy's sabre rattling about what will happen in the event that the unions do NOT ratify the concessions package. According to Malloy, that would mean that there would be layoffs, and aide to town's would be cut. Whether Malloy can carry through on either threat, or both, remains to be seen. Re-election for a Democrat to the Governors office really requires both - he will need union hands and feet to get out the vote, and he'll need the support of the local town's and cities politicos for fundraising.
Meanwhile, in yet a third story - the headline story, in fact, is about how the State will collect ALL of the 2011 increased taxes, from January 1 to the end of the year, in just the last 5 months of the year. By this, I mean to say payroll taxes - in other words, the voters, or the ones that still have jobs anyway. This means that the bite at the end of the year will be much worse than just the increase in the tax rate... it will be the "make up" taxes as well, thus enhancing the pain of the tax increase, for all who pay such taxes, to see.
So now I suppose it's time to play a little, "what if"... What if the unions DO NOT ratify the concession package. Well, Malloy says he'll layoff State workers. And I suspect he will. But if he lays some off, my guess is that it won't be anywhere near the number needed to stop the cuts to town aid. Even Malloy says this.
So while some union employees begin to get pink slips, and they swell the roles of the unemployed in Connecticut and swell the outlays for unemployment insurance claims, cities and towns will begin to figure out what they have to do to make up for the loss of state revenue.
Towns will have to make choices. Most will not want to cover those losses in revenue from fund balances. They will have to begin to cut services, or more likely, begin layoffs themselves. Perhaps they will be able to exact some concessions from their own government unions. However, local government unions have already been down this road. They've seen positions go unfilled and attrition take its toll even as they either gave concessions or watched their contract renewals result in much lower than average increases.
Either way, it boils down to more unemployed government workers, more unemployment claims, and lowered service levels. Pools will close. Class sizes will rise. Leaves won't get picked up. And the list goes on and on.
We are about to see what happens when the government begins to downsize in ways Connecticut has never seen before.
Is this inevitable? Well, maybe the unions will agree to the concession afterall. But if I were a betting man - and I am a betting man - I'd bet against it. There will be outstanding theater in weeks and months to come. Sadly... it isnt' just theater. We're talking about people's lives here - their taxes, their jobs, their kids education, and their quality of life.
I've talked with people about this for years... that the current path is unsustainable. The voters in this State and in this Town didn't listen. Unfortunately, the will get what they voted for.
The corrections officers unions have begun to be tallied, according to tonight's Journal Inquirer. 2 of the 3 units that make up that union have voted against the concession package negotiated by the Malloy administration and SEBAC, the grand bargaining group that makes up the government unions in Connecticut. Further, all it takes to bring down the SEBAC/Malloy deal is for the corrections and judicial unions to vote no. In that event, it wouldn't matter if the other 14 of 15 unions agreed to the concessions package... it would still not be accepted.
In the same issue of the paper, there was yet another article about Gov. Malloy's sabre rattling about what will happen in the event that the unions do NOT ratify the concessions package. According to Malloy, that would mean that there would be layoffs, and aide to town's would be cut. Whether Malloy can carry through on either threat, or both, remains to be seen. Re-election for a Democrat to the Governors office really requires both - he will need union hands and feet to get out the vote, and he'll need the support of the local town's and cities politicos for fundraising.
Meanwhile, in yet a third story - the headline story, in fact, is about how the State will collect ALL of the 2011 increased taxes, from January 1 to the end of the year, in just the last 5 months of the year. By this, I mean to say payroll taxes - in other words, the voters, or the ones that still have jobs anyway. This means that the bite at the end of the year will be much worse than just the increase in the tax rate... it will be the "make up" taxes as well, thus enhancing the pain of the tax increase, for all who pay such taxes, to see.
So now I suppose it's time to play a little, "what if"... What if the unions DO NOT ratify the concession package. Well, Malloy says he'll layoff State workers. And I suspect he will. But if he lays some off, my guess is that it won't be anywhere near the number needed to stop the cuts to town aid. Even Malloy says this.
So while some union employees begin to get pink slips, and they swell the roles of the unemployed in Connecticut and swell the outlays for unemployment insurance claims, cities and towns will begin to figure out what they have to do to make up for the loss of state revenue.
Towns will have to make choices. Most will not want to cover those losses in revenue from fund balances. They will have to begin to cut services, or more likely, begin layoffs themselves. Perhaps they will be able to exact some concessions from their own government unions. However, local government unions have already been down this road. They've seen positions go unfilled and attrition take its toll even as they either gave concessions or watched their contract renewals result in much lower than average increases.
Either way, it boils down to more unemployed government workers, more unemployment claims, and lowered service levels. Pools will close. Class sizes will rise. Leaves won't get picked up. And the list goes on and on.
We are about to see what happens when the government begins to downsize in ways Connecticut has never seen before.
Is this inevitable? Well, maybe the unions will agree to the concession afterall. But if I were a betting man - and I am a betting man - I'd bet against it. There will be outstanding theater in weeks and months to come. Sadly... it isnt' just theater. We're talking about people's lives here - their taxes, their jobs, their kids education, and their quality of life.
I've talked with people about this for years... that the current path is unsustainable. The voters in this State and in this Town didn't listen. Unfortunately, the will get what they voted for.
Thursday, June 2, 2011
Spencer Repeating Rifle History
For those that don't know, Spencer was born in Manchester, and worked at the Colt factory and the Cheney Bros. Mills. At the Colt factory, he learned about gun manufacturing and took up the task of making a repeating rifle in an age of muzzle loading rifled muskets.
Anyway, the rifle was VERY successful, more successful than that Henry repeating rifle which was manufactured by some obscure gun company named Winchester...
In the history, linked above, it talks about how the first Spencer's were manufactured in the "Cheney Bros. Silk Mill machine shop, in Boston"
Anyone from Manchester knows that the Cheney Bros. Silk Mill machine shop is here in Manchester, CT, NOT in Boston, MA. In fact, the machine shop is the current home of the Manchester Historical Society. The confusion likely comes from the fact that the "armory" that was built to manufacture the Spencer rifle was in Boston, financed with Cheney Bros. money.
My guess is that the first Spencer's, the ones Spencer used to demonstrate and gain acceptance for his rifles, were made here in Manchester, rather than in Boston. A small misunderstanding... but one that should be cleared up.
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
Dems sponsor bill to close Millstone
And so it begins...
Inevitably, the march to shut down existing nuclear reactors after the Japan quake has begun here in Connecticut. Rep. Vickie O. Nardello, D - Prospect has sponsored legislation that would tax Millstone out of operation.
According to the JI, the new law would impose a 2¢ per kwh tax on electricity generated from Millstone. This adds up to $330 Million that Dominion power would have to pay.
Dominion has announced that "If this bill passes, the Millstone power station will not be economically viable to operate and will be shut down".
To be fair, the bill also taxes coal and oil fired plants. Coal plants are taxed at 0.5¢ per kwh (4 times lower for a dirtier, greenhouse gas producing, and far more lethal form of energy). Oil fired plants are taxed at 0.05¢ per kwh. That is a staggering 40 times lower rate!
The tax money is supposed to "help fund alternative energy systems and provide relief to consumers" according to the JI. Really? What alternative energy system are we currently researching that can replace the base load generation that Millstone provides? Solar? Bzzzt. Only works when the sun shines. Wind? Bzzt. Only works when the wind blows. Millstone's nuclear power station provides the ultimate in base load generation. Nuke plants like to be turned on, full blast, and left that way. The more they are left that way, the more efficient they are. ISO New England would shut down every other plant whether coal, oil, or natural gas before they turned down the power from the nuke plants. They run the nuke plants full blast all night too, even when the power is cheap to sell. It's just the nature of the beast.
What's most egregious about this tax is that it is targeted directly at Millstone. It taxes Millstone at much higher rates, even though the environmental and human costs of the plant are far lower. And perhaps the most galling is that the supporters of the bill somehow think this is pro-consumer. Nothing could be farther from the truth!
Inevitably, the march to shut down existing nuclear reactors after the Japan quake has begun here in Connecticut. Rep. Vickie O. Nardello, D - Prospect has sponsored legislation that would tax Millstone out of operation.
According to the JI, the new law would impose a 2¢ per kwh tax on electricity generated from Millstone. This adds up to $330 Million that Dominion power would have to pay.
Dominion has announced that "If this bill passes, the Millstone power station will not be economically viable to operate and will be shut down".
To be fair, the bill also taxes coal and oil fired plants. Coal plants are taxed at 0.5¢ per kwh (4 times lower for a dirtier, greenhouse gas producing, and far more lethal form of energy). Oil fired plants are taxed at 0.05¢ per kwh. That is a staggering 40 times lower rate!
The tax money is supposed to "help fund alternative energy systems and provide relief to consumers" according to the JI. Really? What alternative energy system are we currently researching that can replace the base load generation that Millstone provides? Solar? Bzzzt. Only works when the sun shines. Wind? Bzzt. Only works when the wind blows. Millstone's nuclear power station provides the ultimate in base load generation. Nuke plants like to be turned on, full blast, and left that way. The more they are left that way, the more efficient they are. ISO New England would shut down every other plant whether coal, oil, or natural gas before they turned down the power from the nuke plants. They run the nuke plants full blast all night too, even when the power is cheap to sell. It's just the nature of the beast.
What's most egregious about this tax is that it is targeted directly at Millstone. It taxes Millstone at much higher rates, even though the environmental and human costs of the plant are far lower. And perhaps the most galling is that the supporters of the bill somehow think this is pro-consumer. Nothing could be farther from the truth!
Sunday, March 27, 2011
Nuclear Power and the JI
I've been reading the OpEd pieces in the JI. I have to say that I have not seen ANY op-ed piece that takes any kind of a measured response to the nuclear issues that Japan is having.
First, let me say that the situation in Japan is terrible, and that I pray for the people suffering there. The nuclear woes add to an already heavy burden on Japan. And I'm praying that everything comes out okay there.
Next, let me say that I'm appalled at the news coverage of the terrible tragedy there. It's almost as if people have forgotten that Japan suffered the largest Earthquake in its history, and that it then suffered an amazingly huge tsunami as a result. Somehow, the fact that these disasters have caused the nuclear crisis there have been forgotten, or at least, that somehow they "should have known"
Well, they did know that earthquakes and tsunamis happen in Japan. In fact, the earthquake doesn't seem to have damaged the nuclear plants in any meaningful way. The tsunami that resulted is the real culprit here. Essentially, the plants are in the state they are in because:
Let's all pray that these are the only injuries.
Now, let's look at what the JI op-ed pieces said. They all boiled down to this message: Nuclear power is inherently unsafe, and we should abandon it. It makes nuclear "wastes" that are long lived and dangerous for thousands of years. And we ought not make any more of it.
There have been NO op-ed pieces with contrary views... So here's one:
POPPYCOCK!
Nuclear power is NOT inherently unsafe. It is extremely unforgiving of mistakes, however.
Even so, it is extremely safe! Even counting in the deaths from Chernobyl, which so far, is 56 people, and may be 4000 by the time long term affects have been included in that death toll, nuclear power is BY FAR the safest form of energy generation. Just to put it in perspective, 20,000 Chinese die EVERY YEAR mining coal.
But what about all that nasty nuclear "waste" that we keep making. Well, we ought to put a sign over each of those spent fuel rod pools. It should say "DANGER: FUEL"... that's right fuel not waste!
See, there are lots of kinds of nuclear reactors. The ones causing trouble in Japan are some of the earlier generation ones... notably the GE Mark I reactor. Have you noticed that you don't hear much about reactors 5 and 6? GE Mark III reactors. But those are just the ones in production today. And those are all of essentially the same type - low enriched uranium reactors. They don't burn plutonium. They don't make plutonium.
There ARE reactors that we could build that would breed fuel and burn the "waste" of these plants which are known as PWR (Pressurized Water Reactors) or BWR (Boiling Water Reactors). They can use up all this spent fuel, and what they can't burn will be around for 500 years, not 500,000 years. The US had designed one called the IFR. Clinton cancelled that. In fact, the whole "breeder" reactor type was essentially put off limits by Jimmy Carter. But breeder reactors can safely burn nuclear fuel for years to come.
And we don't even need to figure out where to put them. We should just build them on existing nuclear sites. We should build one at Millstone. It could use the waste from the existing plants, burn them up, and make power to boot. By adjusting the breed ratios, we can add abundant Uranium 238 and make nuclear power for the lifetime of the plant.
It's the perfect solution - and we won't do it. We won't do it because rags like the JI have already made up their minds on this issue.
And then, as Japan and other countries switch to other sources of energy, like coal and oil and natural gas, the JI will excoriate evil corporations and bungling governments for contributing to "climate change"
They get to help create the next problem that they can sell newspapers with!
First, let me say that the situation in Japan is terrible, and that I pray for the people suffering there. The nuclear woes add to an already heavy burden on Japan. And I'm praying that everything comes out okay there.
Next, let me say that I'm appalled at the news coverage of the terrible tragedy there. It's almost as if people have forgotten that Japan suffered the largest Earthquake in its history, and that it then suffered an amazingly huge tsunami as a result. Somehow, the fact that these disasters have caused the nuclear crisis there have been forgotten, or at least, that somehow they "should have known"
Well, they did know that earthquakes and tsunamis happen in Japan. In fact, the earthquake doesn't seem to have damaged the nuclear plants in any meaningful way. The tsunami that resulted is the real culprit here. Essentially, the plants are in the state they are in because:
- The power lines into and out of the plants were taken down by the tsunami - removing the primary way to recover from the reactor SCRAMs that the plants underwent when the earthquake happened. The power is needed for cooling pumps.
- The backup system for the primary power was diesel generators. These were taken out by the tsunami. Thus the secondary system failed as a direct result of the tsunami.
- The backup for the backup system was a bank of batteries sealed in an underground crypt. These functioned perfectly, but ran out of electricity.
Let's all pray that these are the only injuries.
Now, let's look at what the JI op-ed pieces said. They all boiled down to this message: Nuclear power is inherently unsafe, and we should abandon it. It makes nuclear "wastes" that are long lived and dangerous for thousands of years. And we ought not make any more of it.
There have been NO op-ed pieces with contrary views... So here's one:
POPPYCOCK!
Nuclear power is NOT inherently unsafe. It is extremely unforgiving of mistakes, however.
Even so, it is extremely safe! Even counting in the deaths from Chernobyl, which so far, is 56 people, and may be 4000 by the time long term affects have been included in that death toll, nuclear power is BY FAR the safest form of energy generation. Just to put it in perspective, 20,000 Chinese die EVERY YEAR mining coal.
But what about all that nasty nuclear "waste" that we keep making. Well, we ought to put a sign over each of those spent fuel rod pools. It should say "DANGER: FUEL"... that's right fuel not waste!
See, there are lots of kinds of nuclear reactors. The ones causing trouble in Japan are some of the earlier generation ones... notably the GE Mark I reactor. Have you noticed that you don't hear much about reactors 5 and 6? GE Mark III reactors. But those are just the ones in production today. And those are all of essentially the same type - low enriched uranium reactors. They don't burn plutonium. They don't make plutonium.
There ARE reactors that we could build that would breed fuel and burn the "waste" of these plants which are known as PWR (Pressurized Water Reactors) or BWR (Boiling Water Reactors). They can use up all this spent fuel, and what they can't burn will be around for 500 years, not 500,000 years. The US had designed one called the IFR. Clinton cancelled that. In fact, the whole "breeder" reactor type was essentially put off limits by Jimmy Carter. But breeder reactors can safely burn nuclear fuel for years to come.
And we don't even need to figure out where to put them. We should just build them on existing nuclear sites. We should build one at Millstone. It could use the waste from the existing plants, burn them up, and make power to boot. By adjusting the breed ratios, we can add abundant Uranium 238 and make nuclear power for the lifetime of the plant.
It's the perfect solution - and we won't do it. We won't do it because rags like the JI have already made up their minds on this issue.
And then, as Japan and other countries switch to other sources of energy, like coal and oil and natural gas, the JI will excoriate evil corporations and bungling governments for contributing to "climate change"
They get to help create the next problem that they can sell newspapers with!
Friday, January 21, 2011
Odd or Interesting Things
From time to time, I'll be posting an Odd or Interesting Things which is really just another name for Thomas Sowell's "Random Thoughts on the Passing Scene"... Out of respect for him, I'm not ripping off his name for it, just the idea.
Manchester's Board of Directors just approved a $60 Million sewer upgrade. Roughly $48 Million will be paid by an "Enterprise Fund" that is made up of money that residents paid in sewer fees. To put that in perspective, $48 Million is more than what the town spent on school renovations in the last 10 years. And it didn't need to go to a referendum because the "town" wasn't borrowing the money, the "Enterprise Fund" was.
People like to tailgate on the highways. They like it so much that they'll tailgate me during a snow storm. But they DON'T like it when the 2 feet of snow on my minivan roof starts to fly off and hit their windshield. Problem solved.
Okay, so it's pretty clear that all of the news media except for Fox hates Sarah Palin. So why do the rest of the media keep reporting on her? If they just stopped reporting on her, she'd disappear. So it stands to reason that while the rest of the media hate her, they get hung up on the fact that they LOVE to hate her.
The punks who decided to turn Manchester High School into the WWE have screwed up their own lives, and the lives of so many others. Consider that:
Now that health care reform is passed, what will the Democrats campaign for? Is there another entitlement program that we're missing?
Can something be cool and creepy at the same time? That Kevin Bacon commercial got me thinking about it.
Speaking of Kevin Bacon, it dawned on me the other day that if you loosely interpret the rules of "6 Degrees of Kevin Bacon" that I, personally, am 1 degree. He and I were both interviewed by Matt Lauer on the Today show. If that counts, that means that anyone I served with on the Board of Education is, by default, 2 degrees, as our meetings were televised on public access. So there you go.
How much did we used to spend on "Communications"... well, we used to have a phone bill, and it was somewhere in the $30-$60 range depending on how much long distance you used. TV was from an antenna and free. There were no cellphone. No Internet. So now, I figure, for a family of 4, I spend close to $400 per month on communications... That includes cable tv, home phone, Internet access, 4 cellphones 2 with the Internet, all with voice and text. I'll bet I spend more money on communications in a month than I do on food.
Manchester's Board of Directors just approved a $60 Million sewer upgrade. Roughly $48 Million will be paid by an "Enterprise Fund" that is made up of money that residents paid in sewer fees. To put that in perspective, $48 Million is more than what the town spent on school renovations in the last 10 years. And it didn't need to go to a referendum because the "town" wasn't borrowing the money, the "Enterprise Fund" was.
People like to tailgate on the highways. They like it so much that they'll tailgate me during a snow storm. But they DON'T like it when the 2 feet of snow on my minivan roof starts to fly off and hit their windshield. Problem solved.
Okay, so it's pretty clear that all of the news media except for Fox hates Sarah Palin. So why do the rest of the media keep reporting on her? If they just stopped reporting on her, she'd disappear. So it stands to reason that while the rest of the media hate her, they get hung up on the fact that they LOVE to hate her.
The punks who decided to turn Manchester High School into the WWE have screwed up their own lives, and the lives of so many others. Consider that:
- The high school principal has to find a new job
- The superintendent has to now do her job AND his job
- Any consideration of a bond referendum for Nathan Hale and/or Washington schools seems to be at a standstill, thus leaving those kids in schools that are falling apart.
- Discipline for other students misbehaving will now be far more severe, and we'll lose some of those kids to the prison system as a result
- More kids will opt out of Manchester High and into other magnet schools
- Manchester residents have one less thing to be proud of now
Now that health care reform is passed, what will the Democrats campaign for? Is there another entitlement program that we're missing?
Can something be cool and creepy at the same time? That Kevin Bacon commercial got me thinking about it.
Speaking of Kevin Bacon, it dawned on me the other day that if you loosely interpret the rules of "6 Degrees of Kevin Bacon" that I, personally, am 1 degree. He and I were both interviewed by Matt Lauer on the Today show. If that counts, that means that anyone I served with on the Board of Education is, by default, 2 degrees, as our meetings were televised on public access. So there you go.
How much did we used to spend on "Communications"... well, we used to have a phone bill, and it was somewhere in the $30-$60 range depending on how much long distance you used. TV was from an antenna and free. There were no cellphone. No Internet. So now, I figure, for a family of 4, I spend close to $400 per month on communications... That includes cable tv, home phone, Internet access, 4 cellphones 2 with the Internet, all with voice and text. I'll bet I spend more money on communications in a month than I do on food.
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